TradeMonthly

SPY & U.S. Trade Balance

The difference between U.S. exports and imports of goods and services, measuring the country's net trade position.

SPY Price

$631.97

Trade Balance

Last Data: Jan 2026
Last Release: Mar 12, 2026
Next Release: Apr 02, 2026
$-54.5B
+15.9B MoM

Year-over-Year Change

Last Data: Jan 2026
+$74.3B

What It Measures

The Trade Balance measures the difference between what the U.S. exports and imports: - **Goods**: Physical products (manufactured goods, commodities, consumer products) - **Services**: Intangible exports/imports (tourism, financial services, intellectual property) - **Deficit**: Imports exceed exports (negative balance) - **Surplus**: Exports exceed imports (positive balance) The data is reported in millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted. The U.S. has run a trade deficit since 1975.

Why It Matters

**GDP Component**: Net exports are a component of GDP—deficits subtract from growth. **Dollar Impact**: Large deficits can pressure the U.S. dollar over time. **Manufacturing Indicator**: Reflects competitiveness of U.S. goods globally. **Global Demand**: Export strength signals overseas demand for U.S. products. **Policy Focus**: Trade imbalances often drive trade policy and tariff discussions.

Key Levels

Above -$50B
Narrow deficit, improving trade position
-$50B to -$70B
Typical deficit range
-$70B to -$90B
Wide deficit
Below -$90B
Very wide deficit, potential concern

Data Sources

SPY: S&P 500 ETF daily OHLCV data (1993-02-02 to 2026-03-30)

Trade Balance: BOPGSTB - U.S. Trade Balance from U.S. Census Bureau

Units: , ,