TradeMonthly

SPY & U.S. Trade Balance

The difference between U.S. exports and imports of goods and services, measuring the country's net trade position.

SPY Price

$681.75

Trade Balance

Last Data: Nov 2025
Last Release: Jan 29, 2026
Next Release: Feb 19, 2026
$-56.8B
-27.6B MoM

Year-over-Year Change

Last Data: Nov 2025
+$22.9B

What It Measures

The Trade Balance measures the difference between what the U.S. exports and imports: - **Goods**: Physical products (manufactured goods, commodities, consumer products) - **Services**: Intangible exports/imports (tourism, financial services, intellectual property) - **Deficit**: Imports exceed exports (negative balance) - **Surplus**: Exports exceed imports (positive balance) The data is reported in millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted. The U.S. has run a trade deficit since 1975.

Why It Matters

**GDP Component**: Net exports are a component of GDP—deficits subtract from growth. **Dollar Impact**: Large deficits can pressure the U.S. dollar over time. **Manufacturing Indicator**: Reflects competitiveness of U.S. goods globally. **Global Demand**: Export strength signals overseas demand for U.S. products. **Policy Focus**: Trade imbalances often drive trade policy and tariff discussions.

Key Levels

Above -$50B
Narrow deficit, improving trade position
-$50B to -$70B
Typical deficit range
-$70B to -$90B
Wide deficit
Below -$90B
Very wide deficit, potential concern

Data Sources

SPY: S&P 500 ETF daily OHLCV data (1993-02-02 to 2026-02-13)

Trade Balance: BOPGSTB - U.S. Trade Balance from U.S. Census Bureau

Units: , ,