HousingMonthly

SPY & New Home Sales

The annualized number of newly constructed single-family homes sold each month, measuring housing demand and construction activity.

SPY Price

$681.75

New Home Sales

Annualized units (thousands) with 3-month MA

Last Data: Oct 2025
Last Release: Jan 13, 2026
Next Release: Feb 20, 2026
737K
3-Mo MA: 729K

Year-over-Year Change

Last Data: Oct 2025
+18.7%

What It Measures

New Home Sales measures the annualized pace of sales of newly built single-family homes. Unlike existing home sales, this data: - **Contract-Based**: Counts sales at contract signing, not closing - **New Construction Only**: Measures brand-new homes, not resales - **Smaller Share**: Represents ~10-15% of total home sales (existing homes dominate) Data is collected jointly by the U.S. Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) from a sample of permits and sales records.

Why It Matters

**Leading Indicator**: New home sales are more forward-looking than existing home sales because they're based on contracts, not closings. **Construction Activity Driver**: New home sales drive homebuilding activity, employment in construction, and demand for building materials. **Economic Multiplier**: New homes generate more economic activity than existing home sales (construction, appliances, landscaping). **Builder Confidence**: Sales pace reflects both consumer demand and builder willingness to develop new projects. **Interest Rate Sensitivity**: New home buyers are often first-time buyers who are highly sensitive to mortgage rates and prices.

Key Levels

Above 900K
Very strong (bubble-era levels, 2005-2006)
700K-900K
Strong new home market
500K-700K
Moderate, healthy market
400K-500K
Below average, some weakness
Below 400K
Weak market (recession levels)

Data Sources

SPY: S&P 500 ETF daily OHLCV data (1993-02-02 to 2026-02-13)

New Sales: HSN1F - New Home Sales from U.S. Census Bureau / HUD

Units: , ,