HousingMonthly

SPY & Existing Home Sales

The annualized number of previously owned residential properties sold each month, measuring housing demand and market activity.

SPY Price

$681.75

Existing Home Sales

Annualized units with 3-month MA

Last Data: Jan 2026
Next Release: Mar 10, 2026
3.91M
3-Mo MA: 4.13M

Year-over-Year Change

Last Data: Jan 2026
-4.4%

What It Measures

Existing Home Sales measures the annualized pace of sales of previously owned (not new construction) single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums, and co-ops. This represents the vast majority (~85-90%) of all home sales in the United States. Key characteristics: - **Annualized**: Monthly sales multiplied by 12 to show annual pace - **Seasonally Adjusted**: Removes normal seasonal patterns - **Closings-Based**: Counts completed transactions, not new contracts The National Association of Realtors (NAR) collects data from Multiple Listing Services (MLS) and surveys of real estate transactions.

Why It Matters

**Housing Demand Barometer**: Existing home sales directly measure consumer demand for housing, the largest purchase most households make. **Economic Multiplier**: Home sales trigger significant economic activity: furniture purchases, renovations, moving services, mortgage fees, and realtor commissions. **Consumer Confidence Proxy**: Willingness to make a large purchase like a home reflects consumer confidence and financial health. **Mortgage Rate Sensitivity**: Existing home sales are highly sensitive to mortgage rates, making them a key indicator for Fed policy transmission. **Inventory and Prices**: Sales pace affects inventory levels and price dynamics in the housing market.

Key Levels

Above 6 million
Very strong housing market (pre-2006 bubble levels)
5-6 million
Strong, healthy housing market
4-5 million
Moderate activity, typical market
3.5-4 million
Weak market, affordability challenges or uncertainty
Below 3.5 million
Very weak market, potential recession or crisis

Data Sources

SPY: S&P 500 ETF daily OHLCV data (1993-02-02 to 2026-02-13)

Existing Sales: EXHOSLUSM495S - Existing Home Sales from National Association of Realtors

Units: , ,