ConsumerMonthly

SPY & OECD Consumer Confidence Index

A composite index measuring U.S. consumer confidence, normalized around 100 as the long-term average, based on survey data about economic expectations.

SPY Price

$681.75

OECD Consumer Confidence Index

Normalized around 100 (long-term average)

Last Data: Jan 2024
Last Release: Jan 15, 2026
98.91
12-mo MA: 97.72

What It Measures

The OECD Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for the United States measures consumer optimism about the economy based on survey responses. The index: - Is **amplitude-adjusted** and normalized with 100 representing the long-term average - Values above 100 indicate above-average consumer confidence - Values below 100 indicate below-average consumer confidence - Captures expectations about personal finances, employment, and economic conditions The OECD compiles this using data from consumer surveys, harmonizing methodology across member countries for international comparability.

Why It Matters

**Consumer Spending Predictor**: Consumer spending accounts for ~70% of U.S. GDP. Confident consumers spend more. **Leading Indicator**: Changes in consumer confidence often precede changes in actual spending behavior. **International Comparison**: OECD's standardized methodology allows comparison of consumer confidence across countries. **Recession Warning**: Sharp declines in confidence often precede or coincide with economic downturns. **Policy Monitor**: Central banks monitor consumer confidence as an indicator of household economic expectations.

Key Levels

Above 101
Strong confidence, optimistic consumers
100-101
Average confidence, neutral outlook
99-100
Slightly below average, mild pessimism
98-99
Below average, cautious consumers
Below 98
Weak confidence, significant pessimism, recession risk

Data Sources

SPY: S&P 500 ETF daily OHLCV data (1993-02-02 to 2026-02-13)

Confidence: CSCICP03USM665S - OECD Consumer Confidence Index from Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

Units: , ,